Comments on: Horseraceblogging

By: Steve V

Steve V — Mon, 12 May 2008 19:41:01 +0000

Since you talk about the tradition of tacking left and then tacking centerwards for the general, it is also interesting that Obama has pretty much been bucking that CW and running “to the center” during the primary season. Does this raise any challenges for his campaign in the general? Or does it make it easier, i.e., he’ll have less primary-general dissonance than other nominees and can just keep doing what he’s been doing. Obama’s approach is another strange thing about this election cycle. You’re totally correct, however, that Hillary would be in a bind about which way to tack, and it’d be fascinating were she the candidate to watch her try to thread the needle.

By: TGGP

TGGP — Sun, 11 May 2008 18:49:16 +0000

The Democrats are going to win the black vote no matter what. They’ll get a majority of the Hispanic vote, but a lot of them aren’t hot on the son of Aladdin. The real reason why nominating Hillary is a bad idea is because she is one of the most HATED figures in politics today. In head-to-head matchups she’s the one who could lose to McCain, not Obama. Obama has shown he can win lily-white states, and the working class whites will still probably we willing to vote for him if he’s the Dem nominee. In this year it’s pretty much a certainty that the Dems will win, so I would suggest choosing a favored candidate on the basis of who you would like to be President. I choose nobody, or if that’s not possible Hamilton Sandwich.

By: The Return of AOTP-Pimping § Unqualified Offerings

The Return of AOTP-Pimping § Unqualified Offerings — Sun, 11 May 2008 17:59:56 +0000

[...] races. If we had any electoral instincts we wouldn’t have gotten ourselves in this position. Nevertheless, I argue that Obama’s comparative weakness with white voters versus Clinton’s comparative [...]